Target Workspace
NaV1.7 / SCN9A
Voltage-gated sodium channel·Moderate-HighImproving·Review recommended·TSTranslational Science· Updated 3 days ago
Risk register
Tracked risks with owners, evidence basis, and resolution paths.
AI risk synthesisAI-assisted
The most decision-sensitive risk is isoform selectivity. Internal chemistry data would reduce uncertainty most. CNS exclusion and on-target sensory effects remain monitor-only based on current evidence.
| Risk | Category | Sev | Lik | Evidence basis | Resolution path | Owner | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insufficient isoform selectivity in clinic | Off-target safety | High | Moderate | Literature + class precedent | Phase I PK/PD with isoform-specific biomarkers | Chemistry | Open |
| Inadequate CNS exclusion | Off-target safety | Moderate-High | Moderate | Preclinical PK/PD pending | Brain penetration data; relevant biomarkers | Translational Science | Needs internal data |
| On-target sensory adverse effects | On-target safety | Moderate | Moderate | Class safety profile | Dose-response in healthy volunteer or POC | Safety | Monitoring |
| Magnitude of analgesia insufficient at safe doses | Translational | Moderate-High | Moderate | Model-informed projection | Model-informed dose selection; biomarker-anchored POC | Translational Science | Open |
| Competitor accelerates with selective design | Competitive | Moderate | Moderate | Public pipeline scan | Public pipeline monitoring | Competitive Intelligence | Source check required |
Decision impact
Current convictionModerate-High
Active stress-test0 scenarios
Projected conviction—
Most sensitive risk
Isoform selectivity in clinic
Next data needed
Phase I PK/PD with isoform-specific biomarkers
Stress-test scenarios
Trigger watch list
Monitoring configuration| Trigger | Source monitored | Impact | Alert threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public NaV1.7 competitor reports cleanly differentiated POC | ClinicalTrials.gov; conference abstracts | Strengthens build case | Phase II POC reported | Active |
| New large-cohort genetic study modifies expected effect size of NaV1.7 inhibition | GWAS Catalog; UK Biobank; FinnGen | Recalibrates conviction | Cohort > 100k | Active |
| Regulatory precedent established for non-opioid chronic pain endpoint | FDA briefing materials | Improves trial feasibility | FDA guidance update | Idle |
| Class-wide failure due to on-target safety not previously characterized | Public safety reports | Reduces conviction across class | Any class-wide SAE | Active |